Two Monday English Premier League fixtures, two parlay opportunities. Here are the best combinations using live market odds for May 4.
Monday English Premier League Parlay Picks - May 4, 2026
Monday delivers a tasty two-game English Premier League slate, and where there are two fixtures, there are parlay opportunities worth exploring. Chelsea host a struggling Nottingham Forest side at Stamford Bridge, while Everton welcome a Manchester City team still chasing Arsenal at the top of the table. Let's break down the value, identify the sharpest legs, and build some winning combinations.
Game 1 - Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest (15:00 UTC)
Chelsea sit 9th in the table with 48 points from 34 games - a mid-table position that reflects a frustrating inconsistency all season. However, they face a Nottingham Forest side in 16th place with just 39 points, looking nervously over their shoulder at the relegation zone. Forest have won only 10 of their 34 league games and carry a goal difference of -4.
The market strongly favours the home side, with Chelsea priced at -141 (BetMGM) to win. That's a fair reflection of the gulf in league position. Forest at +400 (Fanatics) is an eye-catching price - but backing a side this deep in a relegation battle away from home at Stamford Bridge is a risky proposition.
What stands out here is the goals market. Over 2.5 is priced at -149 (BetMGM), which feels steep given Chelsea's tendency to be involved in tight matches - they've drawn 9 times this season. The Under 2.5 at +120 (Bally Bet) looks like genuine value. A low-scoring Chelsea win or even a cagey draw is a plausible outcome when Forest are likely to defend deep and frustrate.
BTTS No at +120 (DraftKings) is another angle worth noting. Forest have struggled for goals all campaign, and with the pressure of a relegation scrap, they may prioritise shape over attacking ambition.
Game 2 - Everton vs Manchester City (20:00 UTC)
This is the headline fixture of the day. Manchester City, sitting 2nd on 70 points from 33 games, still have a title race to think about and cannot afford slip-ups. Everton in 11th on 47 points are mid-table with nothing particularly riding on this - a dangerous combination for the visiting side to face.
City are heavy favourites at -200 (BetMGM) to win, which implies roughly a 67% win probability. That's reasonable given their quality, but -200 is a short price that limits parlay value on its own. Everton at +550 (FanDuel) is a massive price that will tempt punters - but a home upset against City chasing the title is not the smartest standalone bet.
The goals market is telling: Over 2.5 is priced at -161 (Bally Bet). City tend to dominate possession and create chances in volume, and even if Everton nick a goal, City's attacking output makes this lean toward a high-scoring game. BTTS Yes at -125 (theScore Bet) is reasonable - Everton are capable of scoring at home, and City don't always keep clean sheets on the road.
Value Flag
The standout value call on today's slate is Chelsea to win + Under 2.5 goals in the Chelsea vs Forest match. Under 2.5 at +120 is genuinely generous given Forest's attacking struggles away from home. Meanwhile, Everton BTTS Yes at -125 reflects a realistic scenario where City win but Everton grab a consolation - good value as part of a combined parlay leg.
Recommended Parlay Combinations
Parlay 1 - Low-Scoring Afternoon Double (Best Value Pick)
- Chelsea to Win - -141 (BetMGM)
- Under 2.5 Goals - Chelsea vs Forest - +120 (Bally Bet)
- Manchester City to Win - -200 (BetMGM)
Combined odds: approximately +155 to +165 depending on your book. This is a solid same-day three-legger anchored by two favourites plus an over/under value leg. Chelsea winning narrowly - think 1-0 - is a very plausible outcome, and City have the quality to get the job done at Goodison Park.
Parlay 2 - Goals-Mixed Double (Value Combo)
- Under 2.5 Goals - Chelsea vs Forest - +120 (Bally Bet)
- BTTS Yes - Everton vs Manchester City - -125 (theScore Bet)
Combined odds: approximately +115 to +125. A two-legger that mixes a low-scoring game call with a both-teams-to-score angle in the evening fixture. The logic is sound - Forest defend in numbers away from home, while City's attack tends to open games up and Everton can find a goal at Goodison. A clean parlay with a neat narrative behind each leg.
Parlay 3 - Underdog Special (High Risk, High Reward)
- Chelsea to Win - -141 (BetMGM)
- BTTS No - Chelsea vs Forest - +120 (DraftKings)
- BTTS Yes - Everton vs Manchester City - -125 (theScore Bet)
Combined odds: approximately +185 to +200. This is the punter's parlay - you're predicting a tight Chelsea win with only one team scoring (likely Chelsea shutting out a toothless Forest), combined with goals at both ends in the evening. If Forest fail to register - which is very possible given their away form - this one cashes nicely.
Monday English Premier League Best Bets Summary
- Best Value Single: Under 2.5 Goals - Chelsea vs Forest at +120 (Bally Bet)
- Best Parlay: Parlay 1 - Chelsea Win + Under 2.5 + Man City Win (~+160)
- Value Flag: BTTS No - Chelsea vs Forest at +120 (DraftKings) - generous given Forest's lack of firepower on the road
Good luck with Monday's English Premier League action - and remember, always bet within your means.
