Five Thursday Major League Baseball games offer sharp parlay value. Here are our best combinations with boosted combined odds.
Thursday Major League Baseball Parlay Picks - September 10
Five Major League Baseball games are on the Thursday slate and we've dug into the live market odds to find the best parlay combinations. With the pennant race heating up and bookmakers offering some genuinely generous lines, there's real value to be extracted today. Here's what we're playing.
Game-by-Game Breakdown
Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves (1:15 PM ET)
This is one of the most intriguing spots on the board. The Rays are listed as a slight road favourite at +105 (theScore Bet) on the moneyline, which is unusual and worth noting. Atlanta's home-field advantage should be factored in here, but the market is clearly not convinced the Braves have enough to cover. The total sits at 8.5, and with theScore Bet offering the Over 8.5 at +100, that's essentially even money for a game with two offences that can produce runs. We lean toward the Rays moneyline as a value play given the plus-money price at home opposition.
Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies (2:06 PM ET)
The Phillies are heavy favourites at -175 (Bally Bet), which makes the moneyline unattractive for parlay building. However, Bally Bet is pricing the Phillies -1.5 run line at a generous +120 - that's enormous value for a team favoured by nearly two runs in implied probability terms. The Astros are dealing with a tough road spot and the Phillies have the pitching depth to control this one. The Over 8.5 at -109 (Bally Bet) is also worth noting given both bullpens could be extended late in the season.
Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners (5:10 PM ET)
Seattle's pitching has been elite all season and the Mariners are priced at -130 (theScore Bet) on the moneyline. The total is a low 6.5, reflecting both starters likely to go deep. With BetMGM offering the Under 6.5 at +105, that's plus-money on an under in a pitching-heavy matchup - excellent value. The Rangers run line at +1.5 is priced at -204 (Bally Bet), which tells you books aren't expecting fireworks here.
Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees (8:05 PM ET)
The Yankees are massive home favourites at -323 (BetMGM), making the moneyline a juice-heavy avoid. But theScore Bet is offering New York -2.5 at +110 on the run line - that is a standout value play. Getting plus money on the Yankees to win by three or more against the Rockies, who have the worst run differential in baseball, is exactly the kind of line mispricing that sharp bettors target. Flag this as a value bet. The Under 8.5 at +105 (theScore Bet) also appeals given Yankee Stadium's pitching tendencies late in the year.
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago White Sox (8:41 PM ET)
This is a battle of two struggling franchises. The Pirates are -105 favourites at Fanatics, essentially a pick'em. The Over 8 at +100 (BetMGM) is even money for two offences that have been leaky, and with both bullpens dealing with September fatigue, runs could come late. The Pirates -1.5 at +165 (theScore Bet) is a high-risk, high-reward swing given the near-even moneyline.
Recommended Parlay Combinations
Parlay 1 - The Value Hammer (3 legs)
- New York Yankees -2.5 (Run Line) - theScore Bet +110 - Best value on the board. Plus money on a 300+ favourite covering by three.
- Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (Run Line) - Bally Bet +120 - Another run line at plus money for a heavy favourite. Sharp play.
- Tampa Bay Rays ML - theScore Bet +105 - Road underdog price is generous for a Rays side that has competitive pitching.
Combined odds: approximately +541. Three plus-money legs combining for a massive return. This is the headline parlay of the day.
Parlay 2 - The Pitching Special (2 legs)
- Under 6.5 - Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners - BetMGM +105 - Low total, elite pitching matchup, plus money on the under.
- Under 8.5 - Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees - theScore Bet +105 - Yankees pitching at home against Colorado's weak lineup. Under appeals strongly.
Combined odds: approximately +320. A cleaner two-legger focusing on the pitching-heavy games. Great option if you want a tighter parlay with solid implied probability.
Parlay 3 - The Home Chalk Sprinkle (2 legs)
- Seattle Mariners ML - theScore Bet -130 - Back the Mariners at home in a low-total pitchers' duel.
- Pittsburgh Pirates ML - Fanatics -105 - Near pick'em price on the Pirates, who should have enough to handle the White Sox.
Combined odds: approximately +155. A lower-risk two-leg parlay for bettors who prefer safer returns. Both legs close to even money means a decent payout without massive exposure.
Value Bet Spotlight
The standout value bet of the day is the New York Yankees -2.5 at +110 (theScore Bet). A team priced at -323 on the moneyline being available at plus money on a -2.5 run line against the Rockies represents a genuine market inefficiency. The implied probability on that moneyline suggests the Yankees win by three or more runs far more often than the +110 run line implies. This leg belongs in every parlay you build today.
Responsible gambling reminder: Parlays are high-risk wagers - only bet what you can afford to lose, and never chase losses.
