Three EPL fixtures this weekend offer real parlay value. We break down Forest vs Burnley, Man City vs Arsenal, and Palace vs West Ham.
EPL Weekend Parlay Guide - April 19-20, 2026
Three Premier League fixtures land across Sunday and Monday, and the odds boards are serving up some genuinely interesting angles. We have a relegation six-pointer, the biggest title-race clash of the weekend, and a mid-table scrap with value hiding in plain sight. Let's get into it.
Game-by-Game Breakdown
Nottingham Forest vs Burnley - Sun 19 Apr, 14:00 UTC
Forest sit 16th with 33 points from 32 games - they are in a real scrap but they are at home against the second-worst side in the division. Burnley have just 20 points, only 4 wins all season, and a goal difference of -30. This has home win written all over it.
FanDuel prices Forest at -208 to win, which implies roughly 68% probability. That is a fair reflection of the situation - Forest are not in great form but Burnley are genuinely poor away from home. The draw at +360 is the most generous line here and we will come back to that.
Best Bet: Nottingham Forest -208 (FanDuel)
Value Flag: The draw at +360 implies just a 22% chance of a stalemate. In a game between a struggling home side and a basement club, draws do happen - but at +360 it is probably priced a touch generously if you are a contrarian. We would not chase it in isolation, but it works as a sneaky sprinkle in a value-hunter parlay.
Manchester City vs Arsenal - Sun 19 Apr, 16:30 UTC
This is the marquee match of the weekend and arguably the most important Premier League fixture of the entire season. Arsenal lead the table with 70 points from 32 games. City are second on 64 points from just 31 games - meaning City have a game in hand and are only 6 points back. A City win here would put the title race right back on.
FanDuel has Man City at -105 and Arsenal at +330. Let that sink in for a second - City are almost even-money favorites at home in what is essentially a must-win fixture for them. Arsenal at +330 implies only about a 23% win probability for the league leaders. That feels generous given Arsenal's quality and the stakes involved for them.
Best Bet: Arsenal +330 (FanDuel) - this is our top value flag of the weekend.
Value Flag: Arsenal are the Premier League leaders, six points clear with a game in hand on... wait, City have the game in hand. Still, Arsenal's +38 goal difference tells you everything about how clinical they have been. At +330, the market is heavily weighting home advantage and City's title desperation. For a team of Arsenal's caliber on the road in a must-not-lose match, +330 looks very generous. This is the value play of the weekend.
Crystal Palace vs West Ham United - Mon 20 Apr, 20:00 UTC
Both sides are locked in mid-table mediocrity. Palace sit 13th on 42 points, West Ham 17th on just 32. The Hammers are sliding toward a real relegation battle - 8 wins, 8 draws, 16 losses, and a -17 goal difference is ugly reading.
FanDuel prices Crystal Palace at +140, the draw at +240, and West Ham at +210. Palace as slight home favorites makes sense - they have the better points tally and are playing at Selhurst Park. West Ham at +210 is interesting given how poor they have been, though desperation can be a motivator for a side fighting to stay up.
Best Bet: Crystal Palace +140 (FanDuel)
Value Flag: The draw at +240 implies about a 29% chance - that is not outrageous for two evenly-matched sides, but we prefer Palace's home edge at +140 for cleaner parlay construction.
Recommended Parlay Combinations
Parlay 1 - The Safe Double (Lower Risk)
- Nottingham Forest ML (-208) - FanDuel
- Crystal Palace ML (+140) - FanDuel
Forest at home against the division's second-worst side combined with Palace hosting a West Ham team in freefall. Combined odds land around +110 to +125 depending on the book. This is your steady, grounded two-legger for the weekend.
Parlay 2 - The Value Double (Best ROI Potential)
- Arsenal ML (+330) - FanDuel
- Crystal Palace ML (+140) - FanDuel
This is where the real money hides. Arsenal are arguably undervalued at +330 as league leaders visiting second-place City. Stack that with Palace at home and you are looking at combined odds in the range of +600 to +650. Two legitimate picks, genuine value on both legs, and a payout that makes the parlay worthwhile.
Parlay 3 - The Three-Legger (High Upside)
- Nottingham Forest ML (-208) - FanDuel
- Arsenal ML (+330) - FanDuel
- Crystal Palace ML (+140) - FanDuel
All three home - or in Arsenal's case, a road underdog we believe is mispriced. Combined odds on this three-legger come in around +900 to +1000. The Forest leg is the safest of the three to anchor the ticket. Arsenal at +330 is the high-risk, high-reward swing. Crystal Palace provides the reasonable middle ground. If you are playing with a smaller unit, this is the ticket with the biggest ceiling this weekend.
Summary - Best Value of the Weekend
Our number one value flag is Arsenal +330 at FanDuel. The implied probability of just 23% for the Premier League leaders feels too low, even on the road against a City side fighting for their title hopes. The market is pricing in too much home bias here. Arsenal's superior points tally and goal difference suggest this is a genuine 35-40% shot, which means +330 has real edge.
The Forest-Palace double at around +110 is the conservative weekend play, and the all-three-legger near +1000 is your lottery ticket if Arsenal come through at the Etihad.
Good luck this weekend - and as always, please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.
