Two English Premier League fixtures this weekend offer sharp parlay value. Here are our best combination bets for Friday and Sunday.
English Premier League Weekend Parlay Picks - May 15 & 17, 2026
Just two English Premier League fixtures fall within our lookahead window, but quality beats quantity here. Friday night's clash at Villa Park and Sunday's showdown at Old Trafford both serve up compelling angles for parlay builders. Let's break down the odds, the context, and the combinations worth backing.
Friday, May 15 - Aston Villa vs Liverpool (20:00 UTC)
This is a fascinating mid-table battle. Both Aston Villa and Liverpool sit on 59 points with identical records of 17W-8D-11L through 36 games. Villa hold the home advantage but their goal difference (+4) is considerably tighter than Liverpool's (+12), suggesting Liverpool have been more clinical overall this season despite the identical points tally.
Liverpool are priced as slight road favourites at +150 (BetMGM), which feels reasonable given their stronger underlying numbers. The draw at +255 (DraftKings) is the standout eye-catcher here - given how evenly matched these two sides are on paper, that's a price that deserves respect. However, for parlay purposes, we want cleaner outcomes.
The goals markets are where the real value lives in this one. Both teams are locked in a tight mid-table battle with something to play for, and the head-to-head numbers suggest this should be an open game. BTTS No at +145 (Bally Bet) is an interesting fade given Villa's modest goal difference, but we lean toward goals flowing. Over 2.5 at -145 (BetMGM) is a short price, but pairing it with the right Sunday leg makes it worthwhile in a parlay.
Value Flag: Liverpool +150 (BetMGM) looks generous for a side that has outperformed Villa on goal difference all season. If you're playing a straight moneyline, that's your best number in the market.
Sunday, May 17 - Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest (12:30 UTC)
Manchester United at 3rd place with 65 points hosting Nottingham Forest who sit in 16th with just 43 points - this is a significant gap in quality. United have been one of the more consistent sides this season and Old Trafford is a fortress against lower-half opposition. Forest are battling to avoid a relegation scrap with only an 8-point buffer above the drop zone.
United are strong favourites at -154 (DraftKings) - that's a reasonable price but gets squeezed in a parlay. The more interesting angle is the totals market. United's home form combined with Forest's defensive frailties (they've conceded more than they've scored this season with a -2 GD) points toward goals. Over 2.5 is priced at -175 (BetMGM) - steep on its own, but the spread of outcomes here strongly favours United putting at least two past a leaky Forest backline.
Forest away at +410 (Bally Bet) is a lottery ticket, not a value bet. Don't be seduced by the big number - a side 22 points behind their hosts has no realistic edge here.
Value Flag: BTTS No at +128 (FanDuel) for the United vs Forest game is genuinely interesting. Forest have struggled to score on the road all season, and if United keep it relatively controlled, a clean sheet is absolutely on the cards. That +128 price implies just 44% probability - arguably too generous given Forest's away attacking record.
Recommended Parlay Combinations
Parlay 1 - The Goals Double (+178 combined)
- Aston Villa vs Liverpool - Over 2.5 Goals (-145, BetMGM) - Two evenly matched sides with pressure to perform, expect an open game at Villa Park.
- Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest - BTTS No (+128, FanDuel) - Forest struggle to score away from home, United likely to win but keep it professional. A 2-0 or 3-0 scoreline is very plausible.
Combined odds: +178 - This is our favourite combination. Both legs come from different fixtures and different markets, giving you solid diversification. The Over in the Villa game pairs nicely with the BTTS No in the United game - you're not contradicting yourself since United can win 3-0 with no Forest goal while Villa and Liverpool serve up a high-scoring encounter.
Parlay 2 - Liverpool Away + United Win Double (+176 combined)
- Aston Villa vs Liverpool - Liverpool to Win (+150, BetMGM) - Better goal difference and stronger overall numbers justify backing Liverpool even on the road.
- Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest - Manchester United to Win (-154, DraftKings) - A 22-point gulf in the table should tell the full story here. United at home are heavy-duty favourites for good reason.
Combined odds: +176 - A slightly lower-risk combination leaning on two sides we feel confident about. The juice on United means you're not getting rich, but pairing it with Liverpool at +150 boosts the combined price nicely into value territory.
Parlay 3 - The Value Hunter (+394 combined)
- Aston Villa vs Liverpool - Draw (+255, DraftKings) - When two teams are this equal on points and form, the draw deserves a slice of your bankroll. At +255, the implied probability is only 28% - arguably low for a match this evenly contested.
- Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest - BTTS No (+128, FanDuel) - Forest's away attacking record keeps this angle alive regardless of the scoreline.
Combined odds: +394 - This is the long-shot special. The draw in the Villa-Liverpool game is a genuine value bet given how evenly matched these sides are on every metric that matters. Stake small, but don't ignore it.
Best Single Bets to Watch
- Liverpool +150 (BetMGM) - Best standalone value on the board this weekend
- Draw Aston Villa vs Liverpool +255 (DraftKings) - Value play given equal standings
- BTTS No Man Utd vs Forest +128 (FanDuel) - Underrated angle on a one-sided fixture
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