14 Major League Baseball games on Sunday July 5 - here are the best parlay combinations with value odds across today's slate.
Sunday July 5 Major League Baseball Parlay Picks
A massive 14-game Major League Baseball Sunday slate gives us plenty of angles to work with on July 5. From the early afternoon games to the late-night West Coast finisher, we've identified the best parlay combinations the market has to offer today. Let's break it down.
Market Overview and Key Angles
With form data limited for several teams, we're leaning heavily into the odds markets themselves - looking for lines that appear mispriced or offer genuine value relative to implied probability. The spread market is the headline act in Major League Baseball parlays, and today's slate features several low-total pitching-friendly matchups alongside a couple of high-run environments worth targeting.
A few standout observations before we get into the picks:
- Detroit Tigers vs Texas Rangers has the lowest total on the board at 7.5 - suggesting sharp money expects a pitcher's duel in Arlington.
- San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies features a massive 13-run total - Coors Field doing what Coors Field does.
- Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 at -106 is the tightest spread price on a favourite today and represents outstanding value for a team of LA's calibre.
- New York Mets -1.5 at +165 via theScore Bet is one of the most generous run-line prices on a favourite we've seen - worth a close look.
Parlay 1 - The Value Run Line Hammer (+498 combined)
This three-legger targets three teams getting juicy run-line prices as favourites - meaning the market respects them to win comfortably, and we're getting paid a premium for it.
Leg 1 - Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-106) | Bally Bet
The Dodgers are listed at an extraordinary -213 on the moneyline against San Diego, yet their -1.5 spread is available at just -106 on Bally Bet. That's remarkable pricing - a team this heavily favoured covering 1.5 runs should be priced significantly shorter. The implied probability on -106 is roughly 51.5%, while a -213 ML favourite should be covering a 1.5-run spread far more than half the time. This is the value leg of the card and arguably the best-priced spread on the entire board today. Back the Dodgers to win by two or more.
Leg 2 - New York Mets -1.5 (+165) | theScore Bet
The Mets are slight moneyline favourites against Atlanta (+102 ML for the Mets at FanDuel), yet their -1.5 spread is available at +165 on theScore Bet. That's a massive return for a team favoured to win outright. Yes, run lines carry risk - but at +165 you're getting paid nearly 2-to-1 on a team expected to win. If the Mets have their bats going and get quality starting pitching, a two-run margin of victory is very achievable. This price is generous by any standard.
Leg 3 - Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+120) | theScore Bet
The Phillies are listed at -135 on the moneyline at FanDuel, making them a fairly comfortable favourite in Kansas City. Getting +120 on their -1.5 spread at theScore Bet means you're earning a profit even if Philadelphia wins by exactly two runs. For a lineup as potent as Philadelphia's, covering a 1.5-run spread when favoured is a reasonable expectation. This leg pairs nicely with the other two run-line value plays.
Parlay 1 Combined Odds: +498 (theScore Bet / Bally Bet)
Parlay 2 - The Low-Total Lock Parlay (+284 combined)
This two-legger targets the two lowest-total games on the board, where pitching is expected to dominate and runs will be at a premium.
Leg 1 - Detroit Tigers vs Texas Rangers: Under 7.5 (+100) | BetMGM
The 7.5-run total in Arlington is the lowest on today's board, and getting the under at even money (+100) on BetMGM is excellent value. Even-money unders on sub-8 totals don't come around often. Both clubs have been dealing with offensive inconsistency, and a low-run environment in Texas makes perfect sense here. Getting paid $1 for every $1 risked on an under 7.5 is a line to hammer.
Leg 2 - Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners: Under 7.5 (-115) | Fanatics
Seattle is one of the best pitching organisations in the American League, and their home park - T-Mobile Park - is a historically suppressive run environment. With a 7.5-run total, both teams are expected to be held in check. The under at -115 on Fanatics is fair pricing for what could be one of the tightest games of the day. Two quality pitching staffs in a pitcher-friendly park - back the under.
Parlay 2 Combined Odds: +284 (BetMGM / Fanatics)
Parlay 3 - The Sunday Favourite Moneyline Double (+185 combined)
A simpler two-leg moneyline parlay for those who want cleaner exposure with reasonable combined odds.
Leg 1 - Cleveland Guardians ML (-145) | theScore Bet
The Chicago White Sox have been one of the worst teams in the Major League Baseball for two seasons running. Cleveland at home is a tough draw for anyone, and the Guardians at -145 on the ML reflect that reality. Laying the chalk here is justified.
Leg 2 - Milwaukee Brewers ML (-120) | Hard Rock Bet
Milwaukee at -120 against Arizona at Hard Rock Bet is a manageable price for a side that travels well and has genuine rotation depth. The Diamondbacks at +105 on BetMGM suggests this is a near-even game - but the Brewers' consistency on the road gives them the edge. Back Milwaukee to win outright.
Parlay 3 Combined Odds: +185 (theScore Bet / Hard Rock Bet)
Best Value Flag
The standout value on the board today is Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 at -106 on Bally Bet. A team priced at -213 on the moneyline should realistically be -160 or shorter on the run line. At -106, the market is essentially handing out free equity. Whether you include this in a parlay or play it as a straight bet, this is the number to be on today.
Quick-Reference Picks Summary
- Parlay 1 (+498): Dodgers -1.5 (-106, Bally Bet) + Mets -1.5 (+165, theScore Bet) + Phillies -1.5 (+120, theScore Bet)
- Parlay 2 (+284): Tigers/Rangers Under 7.5 (+100, BetMGM) + Blue Jays/Mariners Under 7.5 (-115, Fanatics)
- Parlay 3 (+185): Cleveland Guardians ML (-145, theScore Bet) + Milwaukee Brewers ML (-120, Hard Rock Bet)
Good luck on Sunday's Major League Baseball slate - and as always, please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.
