Four FA Cup knockout ties hit the pitch Tuesday evening. Here are the best parlay combinations and value bets from tonight's slate.
FA Cup Tuesday Night Parlay Picks - September 22
Four FA Cup first-round qualifying ties are on the card this Tuesday evening, and while the form data is limited for some of these lower-league sides, the market odds tell an interesting story. Let's break down the best legs and build two parlay combinations worth backing tonight.
Match-by-Match Analysis
Worksop Town FC vs AFC Telford United (19:45 UTC)
This is the most competitive-looking fixture on the slate. The market is almost perfectly split - Worksop are narrow home favourites at +102 (betPARX), with Telford United as slight underdogs at +225 and the draw priced at +220. Those draw odds stand out. In FA Cup qualifying ties between sides of similar calibre, stalemates followed by replays (or extra time) are common. However, the tight line here makes Telford at +225 look like the genuine value - if they're travelling to a non-league ground and priced within a whisker of the home side, there's clear edge in the away moneyline. The total is sitting right on the fence at 2.5, with a slight lean toward the under (-130).
Dagenham and Redbridge FC vs Waltham Abbey FC (19:45 UTC)
Dagenham and Redbridge are heavy home favourites here at -263 (betPARX), which reflects the significant gap in level between these two clubs. Waltham Abbey are a step below in the non-league pyramid, and Dagenham should have too much quality. The juice on the home side makes it poor parlay value on its own, but the Over 3.5 goals at +107 (betPARX) is genuinely generous. A confident Dagenham side at home against lower-level opposition in the FA Cup has the ingredients for a cricket score. Getting plus money on Over 3.5 in this matchup represents real value.
Truro City FC vs Merthyr Town FC (19:45 UTC)
Truro are modest home favourites at -141 (betPARX), with Merthyr Town available at +285. The Under 2.5 at +105 (betPARX) is the market's slight lean here, which makes sense for two lower-tier sides where defensive caution often dominates in cup ties. At plus money, the Under 2.5 represents solid value.
Gainsborough Trinity FC vs Leamington FC (19:45 UTC)
Gainsborough are narrow home favourites at -128 (betPARX) against Leamington, priced at +260. The market is essentially saying this is close to a coin flip with home advantage. Much like the Worksop game, the Under 2.5 at +105 (betPARX) offers a nice return for what looks set to be a tight, cagey knockout affair.
Value Flags
- Dagenham Over 3.5 goals (+107, betPARX) - Getting plus money on a heavily favoured home side to put four past a lower-division visitor is a genuine market inefficiency. This should be priced closer to -120.
- Telford United ML (+225, betPARX) - With the home favourite priced at just +102, this implied probability gap is large. Telford at +225 implies roughly 31% chance - that feels light for a side travelling as near-equals.
- Truro Under 2.5 (+105, betPARX) - Plus money on the under in a lower-league cup tie is always worth a look.
Recommended Parlays
Parlay 1 - Value Accumulator (+484 combined, betPARX)
- Dagenham and Redbridge FC - Over 3.5 goals (+107, betPARX)
- AFC Telford United ML (+225, betPARX)
This two-legger combines the best value bet on the board - Dagenham's Over 3.5 at plus money - with a contrarian play on Telford United as road underdogs who look underpriced given the thin gap between the two sides. The combined price of approximately +484 reflects excellent potential return for just two legs.
Parlay 2 - Unders Treble (+326 combined, betPARX)
- Truro City FC vs Merthyr Town FC - Under 2.5 (+105, betPARX)
- Gainsborough Trinity FC vs Leamington FC - Under 2.5 (+105, betPARX)
- Worksop Town FC vs AFC Telford United - Under 2.5 (-130, betPARX)
FA Cup qualifying ties between evenly matched non-league clubs are notoriously tight. Combine three unders across the three most competitive fixtures tonight and you're looking at a combined price of approximately +326. Two legs are at plus money, giving this parlay excellent value structure. Low-scoring cup ties are bread and butter at this level of the competition.
Quick Summary
- Best value single: Dagenham Over 3.5 goals at +107 (betPARX)
- Best upset price: Telford United ML at +225 (betPARX)
- Parlay 1: Dagenham Over 3.5 + Telford United ML - approx. +484
- Parlay 2: Three-game Unders Treble - approx. +326
Good luck on Tuesday's FA Cup slate - remember to shop lines and always bet within your means.
