Chargers at Ravens on Monday night carries a low 38.5 total and a 4-point spread. We break down the best prices, flag the value, and explain how to build parlays around this game.
Monday's National Football League Game: Chargers at Ravens Parlay Breakdown
Only one game is on our board for Monday night (8:15 PM ET): the Los Angeles Chargers visit the Baltimore Ravens. That matters for parlay building. US sportsbooks only allow two legs from the same game as a same-game parlay, so we are not stacking this game against itself. Instead, we identify the best legs here, so you can pair one with a leg from another game on the week's slate.
A note on form: our live form feed returned no results for either team, so we are not making claims about recent runs, standings or head-to-head history. The analysis below rests on the market prices alone.
Best Available Prices
| Market | Best Price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Spread: Ravens -4 | -110 | Hard Rock Bet |
| Spread: Chargers +4 | -105 | BetMGM |
| Total: Over 38.5 | -110 | DraftKings |
| Total: Under 38.5 | -105 | FanDuel |
| Moneyline: Chargers | +185 | DraftKings |
| Moneyline: Ravens | -200 | FanDuel |
What the Market Is Telling Us
The spread
Baltimore is a 4-point home favorite. At -110 the Ravens' price implies roughly a 52.4% chance to cover. The Chargers at +4 for -105 at BetMGM is the cheaper ticket, and that small discount is worth taking. Four points also sits on both sides of the key number of 3: if Baltimore wins by a field goal, the Chargers cover. A push on exactly 4 returns your stake, which softens the risk in a parlay because the leg is simply removed.
The total
A 38.5 total is very low by National Football League standards, so the market expects a grind. The Under 38.5 at -105 (FanDuel) is the better-priced side compared with the Over at -110 (DraftKings). Low totals are also where a single late score swings results, so size this leg accordingly.
The moneyline
The Ravens at -200 imply about a 66.7% win probability, and the Chargers at +185 (DraftKings) imply about 35.1%. The gap between the spread (4 points) and these moneylines is where the interesting question sits. The +185 is the generous number here, but it is a straight win-or-lose outcome. We would rather take the +4 points at -105 than pay for an outright upset.
Parlay Strategy for This Game
Since the board contains one game, we are not publishing combined-odds parlays today. Here are the legs we would use as building blocks once the rest of the week's lines are available:
- Anchor leg: Chargers +4 (-105, BetMGM). Our preferred use of this game. Spreads are the headline market, and the dog price is the best value on the board.
- Alternative leg: Under 38.5 (-105, FanDuel). A good fit if you want to diversify away from a side. Use only one leg from this game per parlay.
- Value flag: Chargers moneyline +185 (DraftKings). A speculative option for a small-stake ticket, but not our first choice.
As a guide to how pricing works, pairing a -105 leg with a -110 leg from a different game gives a two-leg parlay of roughly +273. That is an illustration, not a recommended ticket. Once you choose a second game, check the combined price at your sportsbook before placing the bet.
Bottom Line
Chargers +4 at BetMGM is the cleanest value, with the Under 38.5 at FanDuel as the secondary angle. Shop between Hard Rock Bet, BetMGM, FanDuel and DraftKings, since the best price for each market sits at a different book.
Please bet responsibly and only wager what you can afford to lose.
